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2024-12-14 05:37:28

In the past year or two, the theme of A-shares was foreign investment and RMB appreciation. This concept has been going on until now, including today. However, Tuesday's favorable policy proposed to implement monetary easing, which indicates that the RMB exchange rate is expected to depreciate or begin to depreciate, and the concept of A-shares has been speculated to the end. After all, after several years, few people believe it, and it can only be played by big players themselves. The participation of retail investors is not high, and the big index stocks are at historical highs.It is basically impossible to find out the sectors that have market appeal and can play a leading role. Without a new leading sector, the market will lose its leader. Without a leading sector, how to start the second wave of gains depends on general gains.Of course, there are still many situations, which are enough to explain the current trend. It is a trend of attracting more people, and I will not list them one by one. My judgment has gone up and down these days, and I keep making mistakes. Maybe it's because I want this wave of market to work normally, so I will adjust it, and it will go up when it goes up, but I just push up the index and go up for the sake of going up. In addition, the trading volume can't be effectively enlarged. Without a new leading plate, I rely on a few big index stocks to control the market. This is ship pulled. Therefore, I am still bearish on tomorrow's A-share market.


Second, the plate rotation is too fast, and no new leading plate can be found.Today, the three sisters of A-shares jointly pull up A-shares again, which is a ship pulled for the expectation of RMB depreciation. Because it is a shrinkage increase, especially A50, the shrinkage increase after the heavy volume drop is reflected in A-shares, that is, pulling up the external market with a small amount of funds to affect the A-share market.There have been three shrinking volume piles. I posted a picture for you in the article the day before yesterday. You can have a look. Through the judgment of volume, it is concluded that 3494 points is a high point, because there is no volume to support the rise, which belongs to the nature of attracting more and ship pulled.


In the past year or two, the theme of A-shares was foreign investment and RMB appreciation. This concept has been going on until now, including today. However, Tuesday's favorable policy proposed to implement monetary easing, which indicates that the RMB exchange rate is expected to depreciate or begin to depreciate, and the concept of A-shares has been speculated to the end. After all, after several years, few people believe it, and it can only be played by big players themselves. The participation of retail investors is not high, and the big index stocks are at historical highs.After October 8, the artificial intelligence sector saw a huge increase. The sector began to rise on October 14, and by Tuesday, the total increase reached 37%. This did not count the increase before October 8. If you add it up, the increase will exceed 50%. At this time, you will absorb on dips. Where is this low? At this stage, the increase of the securities sector also reached 16%.It is basically impossible to find out the sectors that have market appeal and can play a leading role. Without a new leading sector, the market will lose its leader. Without a leading sector, how to start the second wave of gains depends on general gains.

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